Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.020179 0.021647 0.023173 0.024879 0.026736 0.028698 0.030929
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.017623 0.019726 0.022024 0.024730 0.027839 0.031308 0.035488
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.015771 0.018216 0.020991 0.024387 0.028453 0.033188 0.039159
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.014591 0.017290 0.020445 0.024433 0.029375 0.035342 0.043163
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.013473 0.016305 0.019702 0.024111 0.029736 0.036742 0.046237
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.012473 0.015371 0.018922 0.023641 0.029817 0.037720 0.048758
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.011727 0.014690 0.018395 0.023423 0.030161 0.039005 0.051707
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.011069 0.014073 0.017897 0.023190 0.030436 0.040172 0.054527
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.010383 0.013375 0.017244 0.022693 0.030300 0.040738 0.056498
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.010036 0.013101 0.017131 0.022908 0.031136 0.042678 0.060544
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.009632 0.012728 0.016856 0.022872 0.031600 0.044093 0.063883
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.009365 0.012523 0.016798 0.023128 0.032482 0.046148 0.068311
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.008936 0.012078 0.016386 0.022859 0.032585 0.047059 0.071043
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.008592 0.011736 0.016102 0.022759 0.032927 0.048345 0.074451
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.008213 0.011325 0.015698 0.022456 0.032935 0.049100 0.077029
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.007962 0.011088 0.015534 0.022499 0.033473 0.050708 0.081125
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.007634 0.010723 0.015165 0.022207 0.033461 0.051419 0.083725
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.007291 0.010322 0.014724 0.021781 0.033205 0.051709 0.085591
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.007030 0.010034 0.014439 0.021583 0.033304 0.052584 0.088546
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.006781 0.009754 0.014155 0.021371 0.033364 0.053386 0.091412
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.006487 0.009394 0.013735 0.020920 0.032998 0.053431 0.092863
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.006367 0.009296 0.013714 0.021115 0.033731 0.055422 0.098121
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.006200 0.009118 0.013561 0.021083 0.034067 0.056725 0.102140